PHASE 1 / CANDIDATE RESEARCH

Can a Mayer Multiple based accumulation rule improve the way an individual investor buys BTC over time?

基于迈尔乘数的积累规则,能否改善个人投资者分批买入 BTC 的过程?


🟨 00 / Why This Exists

The question is not only whether BTC rises in the long run. For an individual investor, the harder question is how to enter: how to avoid using all cash too early, how to avoid buying mechanically in every market, and how to keep buying near drawdowns without relying only on courage.

问题不只是 BTC 长期会不会上涨。对个人投资者来说,更难的是如何入场:不要太早把现金打光,不要在所有行情里机械买入,也不要把低位加仓完全交给临场勇气。


🟦 01 / Research Questions

Question 1. Is Smart DCA better than buying the full position at once?

问题 1。 智能 DCA 是否比一次性买入更适合这类资金?

Question 2. Is Smart DCA better than naive fixed-amount DCA?

问题 2。 智能 DCA 是否比无脑定投更好?

Question 3. Does it create a more livable accumulation process for individual investors?

问题 3。 它是否能为真实个人投资者提供更可执行、更可承受的资产积累方式?


🟪 02 / Hypothesis

Smart DCA may add value if it buys more when BTC is statistically cheaper, slows down when the market is expensive, and takes limited profit during mild overheat without turning the process into active trading.