Business Metrics — AARRR

Stage Definition
Acquisition Target D2C founders and Head of Growth at brands with 500–10,000 customers running on Shopify, WooCommerce, or custom stacks with no dedicated retention system
Activation First intelligence scan completes successfully — all customers scored, stage distribution visible on dashboard, at least one customer flagged in Churn Countdown
Retention Brand operators who receive an at-risk alert for a customer who then converts after the intervention continue using RetainIQ through month three
Revenue Infrastructure cost under $0.05 per customer per month. At 1,000 customers, total monthly cost remains under $50
Referral A founder who sees a customer move from AT_RISK back to ACTIVE after an automated win-back email has an immediate story to tell their peer network

User Experience Metrics — HEART

Metric Target
Happiness Brand operator satisfaction score ≥ 4.5/5 after first week of live monitoring
Engagement Number of manual scans triggered per week; intervention emails opened by customers
Adoption % of at-risk customers receiving automated intervention vs those missed
Retention Operators active across 3+ consecutive months without manual re-engagement
Task Success Stage transition detected and intervention email delivered within 60 seconds of scan completion

AI Performance Metrics

Metric Target
Scoring Reliability 100% — deterministic code-based calculation produces consistent output for identical inputs
Stage Classification Accuracy Validated against 30 seed customers across all five lifecycle stages
Intervention Routing Accuracy Correct intervention type triggered for 100% of stage transitions in testing
Workflow 1 End-to-End Latency Under 3 seconds from webhook receipt to Supabase update
Workflow 2 Bulk Processing Time Under 15 seconds for 26 customers including all PATCH operations
Email Delivery Rate 100% on verified sender domain via Brevo transactional API

North Star Metric

Customers Saved × Days Before Churn

The system succeeds when customers who would have churned are retained, and when those customers are caught earlier in their drift — giving the brand more time to act. Both the count of recoveries and the earliness of detection must improve simultaneously.