Structural Issues
- Low tax-to-GDP ratio (~9-10%) — narrow tax base, heavy reliance on indirect taxes
- Chronic twin deficits: fiscal deficit + current account deficit
- Circular debt in energy sector (unpaid subsidies/losses cascading through supply chain)
- Low savings & investment rates (~13-15% of GDP) vs regional peers
External Vulnerabilities
- Heavy reliance on imports (oil, machinery) → import-driven current account pressure
- Repeated IMF programs (23+ since 1958) — "stop-go" cycles, structural reforms rarely completed
- External debt servicing consumes large share of budget
- Low FDI compared to regional competitors (Bangladesh, Vietnam)
Structural/Sectoral Weaknesses
- Narrow export base — dominated by low-value-added textiles
- Agriculture stagnant productivity despite large labour share
- Energy sector: circular debt, high line losses, expensive capacity payments (esp. IPPs)
- Large informal economy — reduces tax collection & productivity gains
Governance & Institutional
- SOEs (PIA, Pakistan Steel, Railways) — chronic losses draining budget
- Political instability disrupts long-term economic planning
- Corruption & weak regulatory institutions
Recent Context (as of 2025-26)